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2024-12-14 01:00:20

Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)Market News: Ibrahim Karin, Director of Turkish Intelligence Agency, has arrived in the Syrian capital.The main force of Brent crude oil futures fell by 1.01% in the day to 72.80 US dollars/barrel.


US National Security Adviser Sullivan: There are a series of risks in the situation in Syria; We fully expect that Israel's occupation of the Syrian buffer zone is temporary.European Central Bank President Lagarde: Due to the lack of budgets submitted by member States, there is uncertainty. Elections in various countries also lead to their own uncertainties.On average, the patients who won the bid from more than 6 enterprises for each drug can use the tenth batch of products won by the state in April next year. The reporter learned from the National Medical Insurance Bureau that the tenth batch of centralized drug purchase organized by the state has produced the results of the proposed bid, and 62 drugs have been successfully purchased, all of which have passed the patent period, and are produced by many enterprises and fully competitive. A total of 385 products from 234 enterprises were qualified to be selected, and on average, more than 6 enterprises of each variety planned to win the bid. In April next year, patients can use the bid-winning products after the price reduction of this centralized purchase.


The European Central Bank predicts that the inflation rate will drop to 2% in the fourth quarter of 2025.Sony rose more than 2% and hit a new high. Institutions are optimistic about its unique positioning. SONY.US rose more than 2%, hitting a maximum of $22.67, a record high since February 2022. Sony's Japanese shares rose nearly 3% today, once again hitting a record high. In the news, Sony previously announced that for the current fiscal year that will end at the end of March next year, the expected operating profit will reach 1.31 trillion yen, about six times that of fiscal year 1999. Among them, the entertainment business is expected to contribute 60% of the overall profit, while the electronic business is no longer reported as a department alone. Yasuo Nakane, head of global technology research at Mizuho, explained that Sony has a horizontal axis in film, music, games and animation, and a vertical axis from production to distribution. The company also has electronic technology, including image sensors, cameras and software, which makes it in a unique position compared with Apple, Netflix or Samsung.Trump rang the opening bell at the NYSE, and US President-elect Donald Trump rang the opening bell at the new york Stock Exchange on Thursday. On that day, he was named "Person of the Year" twice by Time magazine. It is reported that he is the first president-elect to "ring the bell" on the New York Stock Exchange after Ronald Reagan.

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